Against an average opponent, Texas projects to score 39.1 and allow 16.2 (league average 27.5). Model rating +22.8 points versus an average team.
Arch Manning — Pre-season estimate: returning QB with the most snaps last year.
9-3, 29.6 points per game scored and 19.8 allowed across 12 games.
| Season | SP+ | Rank | Talent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22.8 | 6 | — |
| 2025 | 16.2 | 17 | — |
| 2024 | 24.1 | 7 | 954 |
| 2023 | 23.2 | 6 | 913 |
| 2022 | 23.1 | 7 | 887 |