Against an average opponent, Middle Tennessee projects to score 15.6 and allow 41.8 (league average 27.5). Model rating -26.5 points versus an average team.
Roman Gagliano — Pre-season estimate: returning QB with the most snaps last year.
3-9, 22.4 points per game scored and 30.9 allowed across 12 games.
| Season | SP+ | Rank | Talent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -26.5 | 135 | — |
| 2025 | -16.0 | 127 | — |
| 2024 | -24.4 | 131 | 503 |
| 2023 | -9.5 | 101 | 488 |
| 2022 | -6.9 | 89 | 425 |